Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Excelsior36%2.75
- Draw25%4.02
- Go Ahead Eagles39%2.58
Double chance
- Excelsior or draw61%1.63
- Excelsior or Go Ahead Eagles75%1.33
- Draw or Go Ahead Eagles64%1.57
Goals
- Over 2.564%1.57
- Under 2.536%2.75
Both teams to score
- Yes65%1.55
- No35%2.83
Match in numbers
This season, Excelsior at home and Go Ahead Eagles away
| Excelsior (home) | Go Ahead Eagles (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 3.80 | 3.17 |
| Shots on target per game | 2.6 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 8.0 | 6.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 83% |
- Excelsior have lost their last 4 league matches.
- Excelsior: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 12th in the league.
- Go Ahead Eagles: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Our predictions for Excelsior matches: 3 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Go Ahead Eagles matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Excelsior 36%, draw 25%, Go Ahead Eagles 39%.
At home this season Excelsior average 0.60 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 3.8. Away from home Go Ahead Eagles take 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 3.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Excelsior manage 2.6 per home game and Go Ahead Eagles 5.0 per away game.
Form lines: Excelsior have lost their last 4 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Excelsior 1.55, Go Ahead Eagles 1.73. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.
In their last 5 league meetings Excelsior won 1, Go Ahead Eagles won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-17%
Excelsior form
- Lvs Twente0-92026-11-01
- Lat Fortuna Sittard0-12026-10-25
- Lat Heerenveen0-42026-10-16
- Lvs Groningen1-52026-10-11
- Dat Ajax2-22026-09-19
Go Ahead Eagles form
- Lat Cambuur0-42026-10-31
- Wvs Telstar3-22026-10-23
- Lat PEC Zwolle1-42026-10-18
- Dvs Sparta Rotterdam3-32026-10-10
- Dat NEC1-12026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-03-01Excelsior 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
- 2025-10-26Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 Excelsior
- 2024-03-30Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
- 2023-12-16Excelsior 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
- 2023-04-14Excelsior 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Prediction made 2026-11-07 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.