Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction
Fortuna Sittard6th · 15 pts
Excelsior10th · 11 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Fortuna Sittard44%2.27
- Draw26%3.89
- Excelsior30%3.30
Double chance
- Fortuna Sittard or draw70%1.44
- Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior74%1.35
- Draw or Excelsior56%1.78
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.80
- Under 2.544%2.25
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.71
- No42%2.40
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Fortuna Sittard 44%, draw 26%, Excelsior 30%.
Expected goals from the model: Fortuna Sittard 1.53, Excelsior 1.37. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
Fortuna Sittard have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDWLW).
Excelsior have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLD).
In the table Fortuna Sittard are 6th with 15 points and Excelsior 10th with 11.
In their last 5 league meetings Fortuna Sittard won 2, Excelsior won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-09%
- 1-28%
- 0-18%
Fortuna Sittard form
- Dat NEC2-22026-10-18
- Dvs Twente1-12026-10-10
- Wat Willem II1-02026-09-19
- Lvs Ajax1-52026-09-12
- Wat ADO Den Haag3-22026-09-06
Excelsior form
- Lat Heerenveen0-42026-10-16
- Lvs Groningen1-52026-10-11
- Dat Ajax2-22026-09-19
- Lvs Utrecht1-22026-09-13
- Dat NEC2-22026-09-08
Head to head
- 2026-02-20Fortuna Sittard 2-1 Excelsior
- 2025-10-19Excelsior 1-0 Fortuna Sittard
- 2024-03-03Fortuna Sittard 5-2 Excelsior
- 2023-08-26Excelsior 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
- 2023-05-21Excelsior 3-0 Fortuna Sittard
More Eredivisie predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.