Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 25 October 2026

Fortuna Sittard6th · 15 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Excelsior10th · 11 pts
Fortuna SittardDrawExcelsior
Our predictionFortuna Sittard to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.27Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.53-1.37Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Fortuna Sittard44%2.27
  • Draw26%3.89
  • Excelsior30%3.30

Double chance

  • Fortuna Sittard or draw70%1.44
  • Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior74%1.35
  • Draw or Excelsior56%1.78

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.80
  • Under 2.544%2.25

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.71
  • No42%2.40

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Fortuna Sittard 44%, draw 26%, Excelsior 30%.

Expected goals from the model: Fortuna Sittard 1.53, Excelsior 1.37. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.

Fortuna Sittard have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDWLW).

Excelsior have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLD).

In the table Fortuna Sittard are 6th with 15 points and Excelsior 10th with 11.

In their last 5 league meetings Fortuna Sittard won 2, Excelsior won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-28%
  • 0-18%

Fortuna Sittard form

WLWDD
  • Dat NEC2-22026-10-18
  • Dvs Twente1-12026-10-10
  • Wat Willem II1-02026-09-19
  • Lvs Ajax1-52026-09-12
  • Wat ADO Den Haag3-22026-09-06

Excelsior form

DLDLL
  • Lat Heerenveen0-42026-10-16
  • Lvs Groningen1-52026-10-11
  • Dat Ajax2-22026-09-19
  • Lvs Utrecht1-22026-09-13
  • Dat NEC2-22026-09-08

Head to head

  • 2026-02-20Fortuna Sittard 2-1 Excelsior
  • 2025-10-19Excelsior 1-0 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2024-03-03Fortuna Sittard 5-2 Excelsior
  • 2023-08-26Excelsior 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2023-05-21Excelsior 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

More Eredivisie predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.