NEC vs Groningen prediction
NEC12th · 10 pts
Groningen7th · 14 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- NEC46%2.17
- Draw24%4.16
- Groningen30%3.35
Double chance
- NEC or draw70%1.43
- NEC or Groningen76%1.32
- Draw or Groningen54%1.86
Goals
- Over 2.564%1.57
- Under 2.536%2.75
Both teams to score
- Yes64%1.55
- No36%2.80
Match preview
NEC have the edge at 46%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Groningen at 30%.
Expected goals from the model: NEC 1.78, Groningen 1.49. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.
NEC have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDDLD).
Groningen have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWWDD).
In the table NEC are 12th with 10 points and Groningen 7th with 14.
In their last 5 league meetings NEC won 3, Groningen won 2 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
- 2-27%
NEC form
- Dvs Fortuna Sittard2-22026-10-18
- Dat Ajax1-12026-10-10
- Dvs Go Ahead Eagles1-12026-09-20
- Lat Cambuur0-32026-09-12
- Dvs Excelsior2-22026-09-08
Groningen form
- Lvs Ajax2-52026-10-18
- Wat Excelsior5-12026-10-11
- Wvs PEC Zwolle3-02026-09-18
- Dat Go Ahead Eagles1-12026-09-12
- Dvs Twente2-22026-09-06
Head to head
- 2026-05-10Groningen 2-1 NEC
- 2025-11-09NEC 2-0 Groningen
- 2025-02-08Groningen 2-1 NEC
- 2024-11-03NEC 6-0 Groningen
- 2023-04-25Groningen 0-1 NEC
More Eredivisie predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.