ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 24 October 2026

ADO Den Haag17th · 6 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Heerenveen8th · 12 pts
ADO Den HaagDrawHeerenveen
Our predictionHeerenveen to winLean
56%Probability
1.78Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.15-1.78Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • ADO Den Haag21%4.76
  • Draw23%4.38
  • Heerenveen56%1.78

Double chance

  • ADO Den Haag or draw44%2.28
  • ADO Den Haag or Heerenveen77%1.30
  • Draw or Heerenveen79%1.27

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.78
  • Under 2.544%2.28

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.77
  • No43%2.30

Match preview

Heerenveen have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for ADO Den Haag at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: ADO Den Haag 1.15, Heerenveen 1.78. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.

ADO Den Haag have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDDLL).

Heerenveen have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDL).

In the table ADO Den Haag are 17th with 6 points and Heerenveen 8th with 12.

In their last 3 league meetings ADO Den Haag won 0, Heerenveen won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-110%
  • 0-28%
  • 1-06%

ADO Den Haag form

LLDDW
  • Wvs PSV2-12026-10-17
  • Dat Telstar2-22026-10-11
  • Dvs Cambuur1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Twente0-22026-09-12
  • Lvs Fortuna Sittard2-32026-09-06

Heerenveen form

LDWLW
  • Wvs Excelsior4-02026-10-16
  • Lat PSV0-22026-10-09
  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam4-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Telstar0-02026-09-13
  • Lvs AZ2-32026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2021-03-06Heerenveen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
  • 2020-11-28ADO Den Haag 1-1 Heerenveen
  • 2020-02-22Heerenveen 2-2 ADO Den Haag

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.