PSV vs Feyenoord prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 25 October 2026

PSV3rd · 19 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Feyenoord1st · 23 pts
PSVDrawFeyenoord
Our predictionPSV to winLean
51%Probability
1.97Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.03-1.62Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • PSV51%1.97
  • Draw21%4.66
  • Feyenoord28%3.61

Double chance

  • PSV or draw72%1.38
  • PSV or Feyenoord79%1.27
  • Draw or Feyenoord49%2.03

Goals

  • Over 2.571%1.42
  • Under 2.529%3.40

Both teams to score

  • Yes69%1.44
  • No31%3.28

Match preview

PSV have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 21% and a win for Feyenoord at 28%.

Expected goals from the model: PSV 2.03, Feyenoord 1.62. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 71%.

PSV have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLWW).

Feyenoord have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWW).

In the table PSV are 3rd with 19 points and Feyenoord 1st with 23.

In their last 5 league meetings PSV won 4, Feyenoord won 0 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-18%
  • 2-27%
  • 1-27%
  • 3-16%

PSV form

WWLWL
  • Lat ADO Den Haag1-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Heerenveen2-02026-10-09
  • Lat Twente2-32026-09-20
  • Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4-12026-09-13
  • Wat Ajax3-12026-09-05

Feyenoord form

WWWWW
  • Wat Telstar4-32026-10-17
  • Wvs AZ2-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Utrecht5-02026-09-20
  • Wat PEC Zwolle7-02026-09-13
  • Wat NEC3-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-02-01PSV 3-0 Feyenoord
  • 2025-10-26Feyenoord 2-3 PSV
  • 2025-05-11Feyenoord 2-3 PSV
  • 2024-12-22PSV 3-0 Feyenoord
  • 2024-03-03PSV 2-2 Feyenoord

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.