Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 24 October 2026

Utrecht11th · 11 pts
Sat 24 Oct
PEC Zwolle15th · 7 pts
UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
Our predictionUtrecht to winStrong pick
65%Probability
1.54Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.16-1.21Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Utrecht65%1.54
  • Draw18%5.44
  • PEC Zwolle17%5.98

Double chance

  • Utrecht or draw83%1.20
  • Utrecht or PEC Zwolle82%1.23
  • Draw or PEC Zwolle35%2.85

Goals

  • Over 2.565%1.53
  • Under 2.535%2.89

Both teams to score

  • Yes62%1.62
  • No38%2.62

Match preview

The model makes Utrecht clear favourites, with a 65% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 18% and a win for PEC Zwolle at 17%.

Expected goals from the model: Utrecht 2.16, PEC Zwolle 1.21. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 65%.

Utrecht have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWD).

PEC Zwolle have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLLLD).

In the table Utrecht are 11th with 11 points and PEC Zwolle 15th with 7.

In their last 5 league meetings Utrecht won 3, PEC Zwolle won 0 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 1-08%
  • 3-17%

Utrecht form

DWLWW
  • Wat Twente2-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Willem II3-12026-10-11
  • Lat Feyenoord0-52026-09-20
  • Wat Excelsior2-12026-09-13
  • Dvs Go Ahead Eagles3-32026-09-08

PEC Zwolle form

DLLLW
  • Wvs Go Ahead Eagles4-12026-10-18
  • Lvs Cambuur0-12026-10-11
  • Lat Groningen0-32026-09-18
  • Lvs Feyenoord0-72026-09-13
  • Dat Sparta Rotterdam2-22026-09-04

Head to head

  • 2026-02-22Utrecht 1-1 PEC Zwolle
  • 2025-08-31PEC Zwolle 0-2 Utrecht
  • 2025-02-01PEC Zwolle 3-3 Utrecht
  • 2024-08-11Utrecht 1-0 PEC Zwolle
  • 2024-04-03Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle

More Eredivisie predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.