Estrela predictions
Model probabilities for the next Estrela match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Estrela predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.
Estrela
Benfica
Moreirense
Casa PiaEstrela in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Estrela league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 7 | 1 of 7 |
| 2025-26 | 33 | 18 of 33 (55%) |
| 2024-25 | 34 | 17 of 34 (50%) |
| 2023-24 | 26 | 13 of 26 (50%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Estrela this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.91 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.55 | 1.33 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 67% | 80% |
- Estrela have lost their last 5 league matches.
- The model rates their attack 10th and their defence 16th in the league.
Estrela form
- Lvs Benfica2-32026-11-08
- Lat Moreirense1-22026-10-31
- Lvs Casa Pia0-22026-10-24
- Lat Arouca0-12026-10-11
- Lvs Académico de Viseu0-22026-09-20
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.