Chelsea predictions
Model probabilities for the next Chelsea match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Chelsea predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.
Sunderland
Chelsea
Manchester United
Tottenham HotspurChelsea in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Chelsea league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 7 | 4 of 7 |
| 2025-26 | 38 | 15 of 38 (39%) |
| 2024-25 | 38 | 22 of 38 (58%) |
| 2023-24 | 38 | 19 of 38 (50%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Chelsea this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.90 | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.9 | 6.6 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.6 | 4.8 | 6.5 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 40% |
- The model rates their attack 5th and their defence 13th in the league.
Chelsea form
- Lat Sunderland0-12026-11-08
- Wvs Manchester United2-02026-10-31
- Lvs Tottenham Hotspur0-22026-10-24
- Wat Everton2-02026-10-17
- Wvs AFC Bournemouth5-12026-10-10
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.