Aston Villa predictions
Model probabilities for the next Aston Villa match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Aston Villa predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Fulham
Manchester CityAston Villa in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Aston Villa league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 7 | 2 of 7 |
| 2025-26 | 38 | 15 of 38 (39%) |
| 2024-25 | 38 | 21 of 38 (55%) |
| 2023-24 | 38 | 20 of 38 (53%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Aston Villa this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.8 | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 40% |
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
- The model rates their attack 8th and their defence 17th in the league.
Aston Villa form
- Dat Manchester United4-42026-11-08
- Dvs Fulham1-12026-10-31
- Wvs Manchester City2-12026-10-24
- Wat Newcastle United1-02026-10-17
- Dvs Brentford2-22026-10-10
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.