Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction

Match preview

A slight lean towards Aston Villa (48%), though Fulham win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 26%.

At home this season Aston Villa average 0.33 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Fulham take 0.33 points per game, scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.0 per game for Aston Villa at home and 3.0 for Fulham on the road.

Fulham sit 19th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 13th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.42 goals from Aston Villa and 1.17 from Fulham; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 52%.

In their last 5 league meetings Aston Villa won 4 and Fulham won 1.

Most likely scores

• 1-112%
• 1-011%
• 0-19%
• 2-19%
• 2-08%

Aston Villa form

• Wat Newcastle United1-02026-10-17
• Dvs Brentford2-22026-10-10
• Wat Tottenham Hotspur3-22026-09-19
• Lvs Nottingham Forest1-22026-09-12
• Dat Hull City0-02026-09-05

Fulham form

• Wvs Hull City1-02026-10-17
• Lat Ipswich Town1-22026-10-10
• Dvs Manchester United1-12026-09-20
• Dat Liverpool0-02026-09-12
• Lvs Crystal Palace2-32026-09-05