Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Arsenal predictions

Model probabilities for the next Arsenal match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

1stin the Premier League table
27points from 10 matches
9-0-1won, drawn, lost
15-5goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Arsenal predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.

Arsenal in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Arsenal league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

67.5%right result in 81 of 120 Arsenal matches
78 of 112Arsenal wins when the model favoured them
1 of 8Arsenal wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-2765 of 6
2025-263828 of 38 (74%)
2024-253820 of 38 (53%)
2023-243828 of 38 (74%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Arsenal this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1055
Points per game2.703.002.40
Goals scored per game1.502.001.00
Goals conceded per game0.500.400.60
Shots on target per game4.87.02.6
Shots on target conceded2.63.22.0
Clean sheets70%60%80%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%20%
Both teams scored20%40%0%
  • Arsenal have won their last 5 league matches.
  • The model rates their attack 6th and their defence 1st in the league.

Arsenal form

WWWWW
  • Wvs Hull City1-02026-11-07
  • Wat Liverpool1-02026-11-01
  • Wvs Everton2-02026-10-24
  • Wat Nottingham Forest1-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Leeds United2-12026-10-10

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.