Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Arsenal78%1.27
- Draw15%6.61
- Hull City6%15.68
Double chance
- Arsenal or draw94%1.07
- Arsenal or Hull City85%1.18
- Draw or Hull City22%4.65
Goals
- Over 2.541%2.42
- Under 2.559%1.71
Both teams to score
- Yes35%2.83
- No65%1.55
Match in numbers
This season, Arsenal at home and Hull City away
| Arsenal (home) | Hull City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.2 | 2.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
- Arsenal have won their last 4 league matches.
- Hull City have gone 7 league matches without a win.
- Arsenal: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 1st in the league.
- Hull City: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 16th in the league.
- Our predictions for Arsenal matches: 3 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Hull City matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
The model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 78%. The draw is rated at 15% and a win for Hull City at 6%.
At home this season Arsenal average 3.00 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Hull City take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.2 per game for Arsenal at home and 2.8 for Hull City on the road.
Current runs: Arsenal have won their last 4 league matches; Hull City have gone 7 league matches without a win.
Hull City are 11th in the table while the model ranks them only 20th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 1.78 goals from Arsenal and 0.56 from Hull City; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17%, over 2.5 goals 41% and both teams to score 35%.
Most likely scores
- 1-017%
- 2-015%
- 0-09%
- 1-19%
- 3-09%
Arsenal form
- Wat Liverpool1-02026-11-01
- Wvs Everton2-02026-10-24
- Wat Nottingham Forest1-02026-10-18
- Wvs Leeds United2-12026-10-10
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion0-32026-09-19
Hull City form
- Dvs Ipswich Town2-22026-10-31
- Dvs Brentford1-12026-10-25
- Lat Fulham0-12026-10-17
- Dvs Everton2-22026-10-11
- Lat Newcastle United1-22026-09-19
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.