Arouca predictions
Model probabilities for the next Arouca match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Arouca predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.
Famalicão
Arouca
Nacional
AlvercaArouca in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Arouca league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 8 | 4 of 8 |
| 2025-26 | 34 | 19 of 34 (56%) |
| 2024-25 | 33 | 17 of 33 (52%) |
| 2023-24 | 34 | 17 of 34 (50%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Arouca this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.82 | 2.40 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.18 | 1.80 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.83 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.8 | 5.0 | 2.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.9 | 2.6 | 5.0 |
| Clean sheets | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 60% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 27% | 40% | 17% |
- The model rates their attack 8th and their defence 9th in the league.
Arouca form
- Lat Famalicão0-12026-11-06
- Wvs Nacional1-02026-11-01
- Wat Alverca1-02026-10-24
- Wvs Estrela1-02026-10-11
- Dat Sporting CP2-22026-09-19
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.