Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Alverca predictions

Model probabilities for the next Alverca match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

11thin the Primeira Liga table
12points from 11 matches
3-3-5won, drawn, lost
14-15goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Alverca predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.

Alverca in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Alverca league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

50.0%right result in 17 of 34 Alverca matches
5 of 15Alverca wins when the model favoured them
5 of 19Alverca wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-2784 of 8
2025-262613 of 26 (50%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Alverca this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1165
Points per game1.091.001.20
Goals scored per game1.271.001.60
Goals conceded per game1.361.171.60
Shots on target per game3.93.24.8
Shots on target conceded4.24.53.8
Clean sheets9%17%0%
Over 2.5 goals45%33%60%
Both teams scored64%67%60%
  • The model rates their attack 11th and their defence 10th in the league.

Alverca form

WWLLD
  • Dvs Casa Pia1-12026-11-07
  • Lat Benfica0-12026-11-02
  • Lvs Arouca0-12026-10-24
  • Wat Famalicão4-12026-10-12
  • Wvs Rio Ave1-02026-09-19

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.