Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Warri Wolves vs Katsina United prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 08 November 2026

Warri Wolves14th · 13 pts
1 - 1Full time
Katsina United9th · 16 pts
Warri WolvesDrawKatsina United
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Warri Wolves to win (52%)
Our predictionWarri Wolves to winLean
52%Probability
1.91Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.28-0.59Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Warri Wolves52%1.91
  • Draw30%3.36
  • Katsina United18%5.62

Double chance

  • Warri Wolves or draw82%1.22
  • Warri Wolves or Katsina United70%1.42
  • Draw or Katsina United48%2.10

Goals

  • Over 2.529%3.47
  • Under 2.571%1.41

Both teams to score

  • Yes32%3.14
  • No68%1.47

Match in numbers

This season, Warri Wolves at home and Katsina United away

Warri Wolves (home)Katsina United (away)
Matches55
Points per game2.000.40
Goals scored per game1.000.40
Goals conceded per game0.401.60
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets60%0%
Over 2.5 goals20%20%
Both teams scored20%40%
  • Warri Wolves: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Katsina United: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 12th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Warri Wolves matches: 0 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Katsina United matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Warri Wolves have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 30% and a win for Katsina United at 18%.

At home this season Warri Wolves average 2.00 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 0.4. Away from home Katsina United take 0.40 points per game, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.6.

Katsina United are 9th in the table while the model ranks them only 14th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Warri Wolves 1.28, Katsina United 0.59. The single most likely score is 1-0 (20%), and the chance of three or more goals is 29%.

Warri Wolves won both of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-020%
  • 0-015%
  • 2-013%
  • 1-111%
  • 0-19%

Warri Wolves form

LWDDD
  • Dat Plateau United1-12026-11-01
  • Dvs Kano Pillars0-02026-10-25
  • Dat Enyimba0-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Inter Lagos3-12026-10-11
  • Lat Doma United0-12026-10-04

Katsina United form

DWLDW
  • Wvs Sporting Lagos2-12026-11-01
  • Dvs Plateau United2-22026-10-24
  • Lat Kano Pillars0-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Enyimba4-22026-10-09
  • Dat Inter Lagos1-12026-10-04

Head to head

  • 2026-01-19Warri Wolves 2-0 Katsina United
  • 2025-08-24Katsina United 0-1 Warri Wolves

More Nigeria Premier Football League predictions

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Prediction made 2026-11-08 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.