Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Sporting Lagos vs Rivers United prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 10 November 2026

Sporting Lagos12th · 15 pts
Tue 10 Nov
Rivers United6th · 18 pts
Sporting LagosDrawRivers United
Our predictionSporting Lagos to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.31Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.32-0.92Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Sporting Lagos43%2.31
  • Draw30%3.37
  • Rivers United27%3.71

Double chance

  • Sporting Lagos or draw73%1.37
  • Sporting Lagos or Rivers United70%1.42
  • Draw or Rivers United57%1.77

Goals

  • Over 2.539%2.59
  • Under 2.561%1.63

Both teams to score

  • Yes44%2.29
  • No56%1.78

Match in numbers

This season, Sporting Lagos at home and Rivers United away

Sporting Lagos (home)Rivers United (away)
Matches45
Points per game1.250.80
Goals scored per game0.750.60
Goals conceded per game1.000.80
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets25%40%
Over 2.5 goals25%20%
Both teams scored50%60%
  • Sporting Lagos: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 17th in the league.
  • Rivers United: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 1st in the league.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Sporting Lagos 43%, draw 30%, Rivers United 27%.

At home this season Sporting Lagos average 1.25 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Rivers United take 0.80 points per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8.

Sporting Lagos sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 5th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Rivers United sit 6th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 1st in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Sporting Lagos 1.32, Rivers United 0.92. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 39%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-010%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-09%

Sporting Lagos form

DDWWL
  • Lat Katsina United1-22026-11-01
  • Wat Plateau United3-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Bendel Insurance2-12026-10-11
  • Dat Kano Pillars1-12026-10-03
  • Dvs Ikorodu City0-02026-09-30

Rivers United form

WDDLD
  • Dvs Enugu Rangers1-12026-11-01
  • Lat Bendel Insurance1-22026-10-25
  • Dvs Barau0-02026-10-19
  • Dat Abia Warriors0-02026-10-11
  • Wvs Ikorodu City2-02026-10-04

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More Nigeria Premier Football League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.