Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 15 November 2026

Warri Wolves14th · 14 pts
Sun 15 Nov
Sporting Lagos12th · 15 pts
Warri WolvesDrawSporting Lagos
Our predictionWarri Wolves to winLean
47%Probability
2.14Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.27-0.78Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Warri Wolves47%2.14
  • Draw30%3.33
  • Sporting Lagos23%4.29

Double chance

  • Warri Wolves or draw77%1.30
  • Warri Wolves or Sporting Lagos70%1.43
  • Draw or Sporting Lagos53%1.87

Goals

  • Over 2.534%2.96
  • Under 2.566%1.51

Both teams to score

  • Yes39%2.58
  • No61%1.63

Match in numbers

This season, Warri Wolves at home and Sporting Lagos away

Warri Wolves (home)Sporting Lagos (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.831.67
Goals scored per game1.001.83
Goals conceded per game0.501.50
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets50%17%
Over 2.5 goals17%67%
Both teams scored33%67%
  • Warri Wolves are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • Warri Wolves: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Sporting Lagos: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 17th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Warri Wolves matches: 0 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Warri Wolves have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 30% and a win for Sporting Lagos at 23%.

At home this season Warri Wolves average 1.83 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Sporting Lagos take 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5.

Form lines: Warri Wolves are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

Sporting Lagos sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 5th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Warri Wolves 1.27, Sporting Lagos 0.78. The single most likely score is 1-0 (17%), and the chance of three or more goals is 34%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-017%
  • 0-013%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-010%
  • 0-110%

Warri Wolves form

WDDDD
  • Dvs Katsina United1-12026-11-08
  • Dat Plateau United1-12026-11-01
  • Dvs Kano Pillars0-02026-10-25
  • Dat Enyimba0-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Inter Lagos3-12026-10-11

Sporting Lagos form

DDWWL
  • Lat Katsina United1-22026-11-01
  • Wat Plateau United3-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Bendel Insurance2-12026-10-11
  • Dat Kano Pillars1-12026-10-03
  • Dvs Ikorodu City0-02026-09-30

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.