Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Doma United vs Barau prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 14 November 2026

Doma United9th · 16 pts
Sat 14 Nov
Barau4th · 19 pts
Doma UnitedDrawBarau
Our predictionDoma United to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.48Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.17-0.91Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Doma United40%2.48
  • Draw31%3.27
  • Barau29%3.45

Double chance

  • Doma United or draw71%1.41
  • Doma United or Barau69%1.44
  • Draw or Barau60%1.68

Goals

  • Over 2.535%2.89
  • Under 2.565%1.53

Both teams to score

  • Yes41%2.44
  • No59%1.69

Match in numbers

This season, Doma United at home and Barau away

Doma United (home)Barau (away)
Matches66
Points per game2.000.83
Goals scored per game1.670.33
Goals conceded per game0.830.83
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets50%67%
Over 2.5 goals33%17%
Both teams scored50%33%
  • Barau are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • Doma United: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 20th in the league.
  • Barau: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 2nd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Barau matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Doma United 40%, draw 31%, Barau 29%.

At home this season Doma United average 2.00 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Barau take 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.8.

Form lines: Barau are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

Doma United are 9th in the table while the model ranks them only 18th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Doma United 1.17, Barau 0.91. The single most likely score is 1-0 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 35%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-015%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-012%
  • 0-112%
  • 2-09%

Doma United form

WLDDD
  • Dat Abia Warriors2-22026-11-08
  • Dvs Ikorodu City2-22026-10-31
  • Dvs Kun Khalifat1-12026-10-17
  • Lat Nasarawa United0-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Warri Wolves1-02026-10-04

Barau form

DDDDW
  • Wvs Shooting Stars1-02026-11-08
  • Dat Niger Tornadoes0-02026-10-30
  • Dvs Kwara United1-12026-10-25
  • Dat Rivers United0-02026-10-19
  • Dvs Enugu Rangers2-22026-10-11

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.