Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

England · League One · 31 October 2026

Stockport County2nd · 23 pts
2 - 1Full time
AFC Wimbledon17th · 13 pts
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Stockport County to win (72%)
Our predictionStockport County to winStrong pick
72%Probability
1.39Fair odds
1-0Likely score
2.00-0.75Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Stockport County72%1.39
  • Draw18%5.50
  • AFC Wimbledon10%9.94

Double chance

  • Stockport County or draw90%1.11
  • Stockport County or AFC Wimbledon82%1.22
  • Draw or AFC Wimbledon28%3.54

Goals

  • Over 2.552%1.92
  • Under 2.548%2.08

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.19
  • No54%1.84

Match in numbers

This season, Stockport County at home and AFC Wimbledon away

Stockport County (home)AFC Wimbledon (away)
Matches66
Points per game2.000.67
Goals scored per game2.330.83
Goals conceded per game1.332.50
Shots on target per game6.02.8
Shots on target conceded4.35.7
Clean sheets33%17%
Over 2.5 goals67%67%
Both teams scored67%50%
  • AFC Wimbledon have gone 6 league matches without a win.
  • Stockport County: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • AFC Wimbledon: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 22nd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Stockport County matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

On the numbers this is Stockport County's match to lose. The model gives them 72%, with the draw at 18% and AFC Wimbledon at 10%.

At home this season Stockport County average 2.00 points and 2.3 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home AFC Wimbledon take 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Stockport County manage 6.0 per home game and AFC Wimbledon 2.8 per away game.

Form lines: AFC Wimbledon have gone 6 league matches without a win.

AFC Wimbledon are 17th in the table while the model ranks them only 23rd on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Stockport County 2.00, AFC Wimbledon 0.75. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.

In their last 5 league meetings Stockport County won 4 and AFC Wimbledon won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 2-013%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 3-09%

Stockport County form

WWWDL
  • Lat Oxford United0-12026-10-27
  • Dat Notts County1-12026-10-24
  • Wat Doncaster Rovers2-02026-10-20
  • Wvs Bromley1-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Barnsley3-12026-10-10

AFC Wimbledon form

DLLLD
  • Dvs Wycombe Wanderers1-12026-10-24
  • Lvs Mansfield Town0-32026-10-20
  • Lat Sheffield Wednesday0-52026-10-17
  • Lat Plymouth Argyle1-22026-10-10
  • Dat Cambridge United1-12026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-04-15AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Stockport County
  • 2026-03-28Stockport County 3-0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2024-04-01Stockport County 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2023-09-09AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Stockport County
  • 2023-01-28AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Stockport County

More League One predictions

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.