Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 01 November 2026

Shooting Stars15th · 12 pts
4 - 1Full time
Abia Warriors17th · 10 pts
Shooting StarsDrawAbia Warriors
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Shooting Stars to win (59%)
Our predictionShooting Stars to winLean
59%Probability
1.69Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.52-0.62Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Shooting Stars59%1.69
  • Draw26%3.78
  • Abia Warriors14%6.97

Double chance

  • Shooting Stars or draw86%1.17
  • Shooting Stars or Abia Warriors74%1.36
  • Draw or Abia Warriors41%2.45

Goals

  • Over 2.536%2.77
  • Under 2.564%1.57

Both teams to score

  • Yes36%2.79
  • No64%1.56

Match in numbers

This season, Shooting Stars at home and Abia Warriors away

Shooting Stars (home)Abia Warriors (away)
Matches55
Points per game2.200.80
Goals scored per game1.400.80
Goals conceded per game0.402.00
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets60%20%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%
Both teams scored40%40%
  • Shooting Stars: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 18th in the league.
  • Abia Warriors: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Shooting Stars matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Abia Warriors matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Shooting Stars have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Abia Warriors at 14%.

At home this season Shooting Stars average 2.20 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 0.4. Away from home Abia Warriors take 0.80 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0.

Shooting Stars sit 15th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 10th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Shooting Stars 1.52, Abia Warriors 0.62. The single most likely score is 1-0 (18%), and the chance of three or more goals is 36%.

In their last 2 league meetings Shooting Stars won 1 and Abia Warriors won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-018%
  • 2-014%
  • 0-012%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-18%

Shooting Stars form

DDLWD
  • Dat Ikorodu City2-22026-10-25
  • Wvs Ranchers Bees3-12026-10-16
  • Lat Kun Khalifat0-22026-10-11
  • Dvs Kano Pillars0-02026-10-07
  • Dvs Nasarawa United0-02026-10-04

Abia Warriors form

WLDDL
  • Lvs Niger Tornadoes0-12026-10-25
  • Dat Kwara United1-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Rivers United0-02026-10-11
  • Lat Enugu Rangers1-32026-10-04
  • Wvs Bendel Insurance3-02026-09-27

Head to head

  • 2026-03-08Abia Warriors 2-0 Shooting Stars
  • 2025-10-19Shooting Stars 2-0 Abia Warriors

More Nigeria Premier Football League predictions

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Prediction made 2026-11-01 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.