Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Peterborough United vs Luton Town prediction

England · League One · 31 October 2026

Peterborough United21st · 10 pts
0 - 2Full time
Luton Town8th · 20 pts
Peterborough UnitedDrawLuton Town
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Luton Town to win (50%)
Our predictionLuton Town to winLean
50%Probability
2.01Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.37-1.80Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Peterborough United26%3.78
  • Draw24%4.22
  • Luton Town50%2.01

Double chance

  • Peterborough United or draw50%1.99
  • Peterborough United or Luton Town76%1.31
  • Draw or Luton Town74%1.36

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.63
  • Under 2.539%2.58

Both teams to score

  • Yes62%1.61
  • No38%2.63

Match in numbers

This season, Peterborough United at home and Luton Town away

Peterborough United (home)Luton Town (away)
Matches55
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored per game1.002.40
Goals conceded per game1.402.60
Shots on target per game2.84.6
Shots on target conceded4.64.8
Clean sheets20%0%
Over 2.5 goals60%100%
Both teams scored60%100%
  • Luton Town have won their last 3 league matches.
  • Peterborough United: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 23rd in the league.
  • Luton Town: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Luton Town matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Luton Town (50%), though Peterborough United win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.

At home this season Peterborough United average 1.00 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Luton Town take 1.20 points per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 2.8 per game for Peterborough United at home and 4.6 for Luton Town on the road.

Current runs: Luton Town have won their last 3 league matches.

The model expects 1.37 goals from Peterborough United and 1.80 from Luton Town; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 62%.

In their last 4 league meetings Luton Town won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-18%
  • 2-17%
  • 0-27%

Peterborough United form

LWDLD
  • Dat Bromley1-12026-10-24
  • Lat Huddersfield Town1-42026-10-20
  • Dvs Burton Albion2-22026-10-17
  • Wat Leicester City3-12026-10-10
  • Lat Stockport County0-12026-09-26

Luton Town form

WLWWW
  • Wvs Doncaster Rovers3-12026-10-27
  • Wvs Leicester City2-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Barnsley2-12026-10-20
  • Lat Milton Keynes Dons1-22026-10-17
  • Wat Wycombe Wanderers4-12026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2026-04-03Luton Town 2-1 Peterborough United
  • 2025-08-09Peterborough United 0-2 Luton Town
  • 2022-04-05Peterborough United 1-1 Luton Town
  • 2021-08-07Luton Town 3-0 Peterborough United

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.