Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers prediction

England · League One · 31 October 2026

Milton Keynes Dons14th · 15 pts
6 - 1Full time
Doncaster Rovers18th · 12 pts
Milton Keynes DonsDrawDoncaster Rovers
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Milton Keynes Dons to win (45%)
Our predictionMilton Keynes Dons to winOpen game
45%Probability
2.25Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.42-1.29Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Milton Keynes Dons45%2.25
  • Draw26%3.82
  • Doncaster Rovers29%3.41

Double chance

  • Milton Keynes Dons or draw71%1.42
  • Milton Keynes Dons or Doncaster Rovers74%1.35
  • Draw or Doncaster Rovers55%1.80

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.97
  • Under 2.549%2.03

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.83
  • No45%2.20

Match in numbers

This season, Milton Keynes Dons at home and Doncaster Rovers away

Milton Keynes Dons (home)Doncaster Rovers (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.500.67
Goals scored per game1.501.17
Goals conceded per game1.501.67
Shots on target per game2.84.5
Shots on target conceded5.34.5
Clean sheets17%17%
Over 2.5 goals50%67%
Both teams scored83%67%
  • Milton Keynes Dons: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 19th in the league.
  • Doncaster Rovers: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 18th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Milton Keynes Dons matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Doncaster Rovers matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 45% for Milton Keynes Dons, 26% for the draw and 29% for Doncaster Rovers.

At home this season Milton Keynes Dons average 1.50 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Doncaster Rovers take 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 2.8 per game for Milton Keynes Dons at home and 4.5 for Doncaster Rovers on the road.

The model expects 1.42 goals from Milton Keynes Dons and 1.29 from Doncaster Rovers; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 55%.

In their last 5 league meetings Milton Keynes Dons won 1, Doncaster Rovers won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-28%

Milton Keynes Dons form

LWLWW
  • Wvs Bromley4-12026-10-27
  • Wat Stevenage1-02026-10-24
  • Lat Blackpool0-22026-10-20
  • Wvs Luton Town2-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Reading1-52026-10-10

Doncaster Rovers form

WLLWL
  • Lat Luton Town1-32026-10-27
  • Wvs Sheffield Wednesday2-02026-10-24
  • Lvs Stockport County0-22026-10-20
  • Lat Leicester City1-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Burton Albion1-02026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2025-02-01Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2024-09-21Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Doncaster Rovers
  • 2024-01-01Doncaster Rovers 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2023-08-26Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Doncaster Rovers
  • 2022-01-22Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Doncaster Rovers

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.