Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Mansfield Town vs Notts County prediction

England · League One · 31 October 2026

Mansfield Town10th · 18 pts
0 - 2Full time
Notts County19th · 11 pts
Mansfield TownDrawNotts County
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Mansfield Town to win (49%)
Our predictionMansfield Town to winLean
49%Probability
2.04Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.21-0.93Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Mansfield Town49%2.04
  • Draw27%3.66
  • Notts County24%4.21

Double chance

  • Mansfield Town or draw76%1.31
  • Mansfield Town or Notts County73%1.38
  • Draw or Notts County51%1.96

Goals

  • Over 2.536%2.76
  • Under 2.564%1.57

Both teams to score

  • Yes42%2.36
  • No58%1.73

Match in numbers

This season, Mansfield Town at home and Notts County away

Mansfield Town (home)Notts County (away)
Matches55
Points per game2.200.60
Goals scored per game2.000.80
Goals conceded per game1.001.60
Shots on target per game4.02.4
Shots on target conceded3.04.8
Clean sheets20%0%
Over 2.5 goals60%20%
Both teams scored80%60%
  • Mansfield Town are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
  • Mansfield Town: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 7th in the league.
  • Notts County: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 3rd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Mansfield Town matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Mansfield Town (49%), though Notts County win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.

At home this season Mansfield Town average 2.20 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Notts County take 0.60 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.0 per game for Mansfield Town at home and 2.4 for Notts County on the road.

Current runs: Mansfield Town are unbeaten in 6 league matches.

Notts County sit 19th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 12th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.21 goals from Mansfield Town and 0.93 from Notts County; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 36% and both teams to score 42%.

Mansfield Town won both of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-011%
  • 0-111%
  • 2-09%

Mansfield Town form

DWDWW
  • Wat Blackpool4-12026-10-24
  • Wat AFC Wimbledon3-02026-10-20
  • Dvs Oxford United1-12026-10-15
  • Wvs Bromley2-12026-10-10
  • Dat Burton Albion2-22026-09-19

Notts County form

LLLWD
  • Dvs Stockport County1-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Sheffield Wednesday2-02026-10-20
  • Lat Wycombe Wanderers0-22026-10-17
  • Lvs Oxford United1-22026-10-10
  • Lat Reading0-22026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2024-02-03Mansfield Town 1-0 Notts County
  • 2023-10-14Notts County 1-4 Mansfield Town

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.