Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Leicester City vs Stevenage prediction

England · League One · 31 October 2026

Leicester City11th · 18 pts
2 - 2Full time
Stevenage13th · 15 pts
Leicester CityDrawStevenage
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Leicester City to win (43%)
Our predictionLeicester City to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.32Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.38-1.06Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Leicester City43%2.32
  • Draw29%3.50
  • Stevenage28%3.53

Double chance

  • Leicester City or draw72%1.40
  • Leicester City or Stevenage71%1.40
  • Draw or Stevenage57%1.76

Goals

  • Over 2.544%2.26
  • Under 2.556%1.79

Both teams to score

  • Yes49%2.05
  • No51%1.95

Match in numbers

This season, Leicester City at home and Stevenage away

Leicester City (home)Stevenage (away)
Matches65
Points per game1.501.00
Goals scored per game1.501.20
Goals conceded per game1.671.00
Shots on target per game5.03.4
Shots on target conceded4.31.8
Clean sheets33%20%
Over 2.5 goals83%20%
Both teams scored50%40%
  • Leicester City have scored in 7 straight league matches.
  • Leicester City: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 17th in the league.
  • Stevenage: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 2nd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Leicester City matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Leicester City 43%, draw 29%, Stevenage 28%.

At home this season Leicester City average 1.50 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Stevenage take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Leicester City manage 5.0 per home game and Stevenage 3.4 per away game.

Form lines: Leicester City have scored in 7 straight league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Leicester City 1.38, Stevenage 1.06. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 44%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-08%

Leicester City form

LWWLW
  • Wvs Wigan Athletic3-02026-10-27
  • Lat Luton Town1-22026-10-24
  • Wat Bromley4-02026-10-20
  • Wvs Doncaster Rovers2-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Peterborough United1-32026-10-10

Stevenage form

LWLWL
  • Lvs Milton Keynes Dons0-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Plymouth Argyle3-02026-10-20
  • Lat Bradford City0-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Wigan Athletic1-02026-10-10
  • Lat Leyton Orient0-12026-09-19

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More League One predictions

All matches ›
Wigan AthleticBarnsleySat 14 Nov ·
Wigan AthleticMatch result
39%
2.54Fair odds
Analysis
Wycombe WanderersHuddersfield TownSat 14 Nov ·
Huddersfield TownMatch result
38%
2.66Fair odds
Analysis
AFC WimbledonBlackpoolSat 14 Nov ·
BlackpoolMatch result
39%
2.58Fair odds
Analysis
Doncaster RoversLeyton OrientSat 14 Nov ·
Doncaster RoversMatch result
39%
2.55Fair odds
Analysis
Milton Keynes DonsBurton AlbionSat 14 Nov ·
Milton Keynes DonsMatch result
48%
2.10Fair odds
Analysis
Sheffield WednesdayPlymouth ArgyleSat 14 Nov ·
Sheffield WednesdayMatch result
39%
2.56Fair odds
Analysis

Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.