Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Kwara United vs Rivers United prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 15 November 2026

Kwara United16th · 12 pts
Sun 15 Nov
Rivers United6th · 18 pts
Kwara UnitedDrawRivers United
Our predictionKwara United to winOpen game
35%Probability
2.87Fair odds
0-0Likely score
0.92-0.79Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Kwara United35%2.87
  • Draw32%3.09
  • Rivers United33%3.05

Double chance

  • Kwara United or draw67%1.49
  • Kwara United or Rivers United68%1.48
  • Draw or Rivers United65%1.53

Goals

  • Over 2.525%4.06
  • Under 2.575%1.33

Both teams to score

  • Yes33%3.06
  • No67%1.49

Match in numbers

This season, Kwara United at home and Rivers United away

Kwara United (home)Rivers United (away)
Matches65
Points per game1.830.80
Goals scored per game1.830.60
Goals conceded per game1.170.80
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets17%40%
Over 2.5 goals83%20%
Both teams scored83%60%
  • Kwara United have gone 5 league matches without a win.
  • Kwara United: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Rivers United: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 1st in the league.
  • Our predictions for Kwara United matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Kwara United 35%, draw 32%, Rivers United 33%.

At home this season Kwara United average 1.83 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Rivers United take 0.80 points per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8.

Form lines: Kwara United have gone 5 league matches without a win.

Rivers United sit 6th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 1st in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Kwara United 0.92, Rivers United 0.79. The single most likely score is 0-0 (18%), and the chance of three or more goals is 25%.

In their last 2 league meetings Rivers United won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-018%
  • 1-017%
  • 0-115%
  • 1-113%
  • 2-08%

Kwara United form

LDDLL
  • Lat Enugu Rangers0-12026-11-08
  • Lvs Bendel Insurance1-22026-11-01
  • Dat Barau1-12026-10-25
  • Dvs Abia Warriors1-12026-10-17
  • Lat Ikorodu City0-22026-10-10

Rivers United form

WDDLD
  • Dvs Enugu Rangers1-12026-11-01
  • Lat Bendel Insurance1-22026-10-25
  • Dvs Barau0-02026-10-19
  • Dat Abia Warriors0-02026-10-11
  • Wvs Ikorodu City2-02026-10-04

Head to head

  • 2026-02-18Kwara United 1-1 Rivers United
  • 2025-08-31Rivers United 1-0 Kwara United

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Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.