Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 01 November 2026

Kwara United13th · 12 pts
1 - 2Full time
Bendel Insurance7th · 15 pts
Kwara UnitedDrawBendel Insurance
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Kwara United to win (50%)
Our predictionKwara United to winLean
50%Probability
1.99Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.59-0.85Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Kwara United50%1.99
  • Draw28%3.57
  • Bendel Insurance22%4.58

Double chance

  • Kwara United or draw78%1.28
  • Kwara United or Bendel Insurance72%1.39
  • Draw or Bendel Insurance50%2.01

Goals

  • Over 2.544%2.26
  • Under 2.556%1.79

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.20
  • No54%1.84

Match in numbers

This season, Kwara United at home and Bendel Insurance away

Kwara United (home)Bendel Insurance (away)
Matches54
Points per game2.200.00
Goals scored per game2.000.50
Goals conceded per game1.002.00
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets20%0%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%
Both teams scored80%50%
  • Kwara United: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Bendel Insurance: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Kwara United matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Bendel Insurance matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Kwara United (50%), though Bendel Insurance win 22% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 28%.

At home this season Kwara United average 2.20 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Bendel Insurance take 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.0.

The model expects 1.59 goals from Kwara United and 0.85 from Bendel Insurance; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 46%.

Bendel Insurance won both of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-011%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-08%

Kwara United form

LWLDD
  • Dat Barau1-12026-10-25
  • Dvs Abia Warriors1-12026-10-17
  • Lat Ikorodu City0-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Ranchers Bees2-12026-10-04
  • Lat Kun Khalifat0-12026-09-27

Bendel Insurance form

WLWLW
  • Wvs Rivers United2-12026-10-25
  • Lat Sporting Lagos1-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Barau4-12026-10-04
  • Lat Abia Warriors0-32026-09-27
  • Wvs Ikorodu City2-12026-09-23

Head to head

  • 2026-01-14Kwara United 0-1 Bendel Insurance
  • 2025-12-27Bendel Insurance 2-0 Kwara United

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Prediction made 2026-11-01 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.