Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 01 November 2026

Katsina United12th · 13 pts
2 - 1Full time
Sporting Lagos8th · 15 pts
Katsina UnitedDrawSporting Lagos
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Katsina United to win (50%)
Our predictionKatsina United to winLean
50%Probability
2.02Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.67-1.00Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Katsina United50%2.02
  • Draw27%3.71
  • Sporting Lagos23%4.26

Double chance

  • Katsina United or draw77%1.31
  • Katsina United or Sporting Lagos73%1.37
  • Draw or Sporting Lagos50%1.98

Goals

  • Over 2.550%2.01
  • Under 2.550%1.99

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.96
  • No49%2.04

Match in numbers

This season, Katsina United at home and Sporting Lagos away

Katsina United (home)Sporting Lagos (away)
Matches55
Points per game2.202.00
Goals scored per game2.002.00
Goals conceded per game1.201.40
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets20%20%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Both teams scored80%60%
  • Sporting Lagos are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
  • Katsina United: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 12th in the league.
  • Sporting Lagos: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 17th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Katsina United matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Katsina United have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Sporting Lagos at 23%.

At home this season Katsina United average 2.20 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Sporting Lagos take 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.4.

Form lines: Sporting Lagos are unbeaten in 6 league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Katsina United 1.67, Sporting Lagos 1.00. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 0-17%

Katsina United form

DDWLD
  • Dvs Plateau United2-22026-10-24
  • Lat Kano Pillars0-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Enyimba4-22026-10-09
  • Dat Inter Lagos1-12026-10-04
  • Dvs Rivers United1-12026-09-30

Sporting Lagos form

DDDWW
  • Wat Plateau United3-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Bendel Insurance2-12026-10-11
  • Dat Kano Pillars1-12026-10-03
  • Dvs Ikorodu City0-02026-09-30
  • Dvs Barau1-12026-09-26

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction made 2026-11-01 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.