Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Katsina United vs Nasarawa United prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 15 November 2026

Katsina United7th · 17 pts
Sun 15 Nov
Nasarawa United3rd · 20 pts
Katsina UnitedDrawNasarawa United
Our predictionKatsina United to winLean
49%Probability
2.03Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.32-0.75Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Katsina United49%2.03
  • Draw29%3.40
  • Nasarawa United21%4.71

Double chance

  • Katsina United or draw79%1.27
  • Katsina United or Nasarawa United71%1.42
  • Draw or Nasarawa United51%1.97

Goals

  • Over 2.534%2.93
  • Under 2.566%1.52

Both teams to score

  • Yes38%2.62
  • No62%1.62

Match in numbers

This season, Katsina United at home and Nasarawa United away

Katsina United (home)Nasarawa United (away)
Matches66
Points per game2.330.67
Goals scored per game2.000.83
Goals conceded per game1.171.50
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets17%33%
Over 2.5 goals67%50%
Both teams scored83%50%
  • Katsina United: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 12th in the league.
  • Nasarawa United: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Katsina United matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Nasarawa United matches: 3 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Katsina United have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 29% and a win for Nasarawa United at 21%.

At home this season Katsina United average 2.33 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Nasarawa United take 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5.

Katsina United are 7th in the table while the model ranks them only 14th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Katsina United 1.32, Nasarawa United 0.75. The single most likely score is 1-0 (17%), and the chance of three or more goals is 34%.

In their last 2 league meetings Katsina United won 1 and Nasarawa United won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-017%
  • 0-012%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-011%
  • 0-110%

Katsina United form

WLDWD
  • Dat Warri Wolves1-12026-11-08
  • Wvs Sporting Lagos2-12026-11-01
  • Dvs Plateau United2-22026-10-24
  • Lat Kano Pillars0-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Enyimba4-22026-10-09

Nasarawa United form

WWWLW
  • Wvs Plateau United3-12026-11-08
  • Lat Kano Pillars0-22026-11-01
  • Wvs Enyimba1-02026-10-25
  • Wat Inter Lagos2-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Doma United2-02026-10-11

Head to head

  • 2026-02-15Katsina United 1-0 Nasarawa United
  • 2025-09-28Nasarawa United 2-0 Katsina United

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Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.