Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Doma United vs Ikorodu City prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 31 October 2026

Doma United10th · 14 pts
2 - 2Full time
Ikorodu City11th · 13 pts
Doma UnitedDrawIkorodu City
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Doma United to win (48%)
Our predictionDoma United to winLean
48%Probability
2.09Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.53-1.02Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Doma United48%2.09
  • Draw27%3.64
  • Ikorodu City25%4.05

Double chance

  • Doma United or draw75%1.33
  • Doma United or Ikorodu City73%1.38
  • Draw or Ikorodu City52%1.92

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.13
  • Under 2.553%1.89

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%2.01
  • No50%1.99

Match in numbers

This season, Doma United at home and Ikorodu City away

Doma United (home)Ikorodu City (away)
Matches55
Points per game2.200.40
Goals scored per game1.600.80
Goals conceded per game0.601.60
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets60%20%
Over 2.5 goals20%60%
Both teams scored40%60%
  • Doma United: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 20th in the league.
  • Ikorodu City: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Ikorodu City matches: 0 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Doma United have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Ikorodu City at 25%.

At home this season Doma United average 2.20 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Ikorodu City take 0.40 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6.

Doma United are 10th in the table while the model ranks them only 18th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Doma United 1.53, Ikorodu City 1.02. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-18%

Doma United form

DLWLD
  • Dvs Kun Khalifat1-12026-10-17
  • Lat Nasarawa United0-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Warri Wolves1-02026-10-04
  • Lat Katsina United1-22026-09-27
  • Dvs Plateau United2-22026-09-23

Ikorodu City form

DLWLD
  • Dvs Shooting Stars2-22026-10-25
  • Lat Niger Tornadoes1-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Kwara United2-02026-10-10
  • Lat Rivers United0-22026-10-04
  • Dat Sporting Lagos0-02026-09-30

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.