Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 08 November 2026

Bendel Insurance4th · 18 pts
2 - 1Full time
Niger Tornadoes8th · 16 pts
Bendel InsuranceDrawNiger Tornadoes
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Bendel Insurance to win (63%)
Our predictionBendel Insurance to winStrong pick
63%Probability
1.58Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.61-0.57Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Bendel Insurance63%1.58
  • Draw25%4.02
  • Niger Tornadoes12%8.40

Double chance

  • Bendel Insurance or draw88%1.14
  • Bendel Insurance or Niger Tornadoes75%1.33
  • Draw or Niger Tornadoes37%2.72

Goals

  • Over 2.537%2.69
  • Under 2.563%1.59

Both teams to score

  • Yes35%2.89
  • No65%1.53

Match in numbers

This season, Bendel Insurance at home and Niger Tornadoes away

Bendel Insurance (home)Niger Tornadoes (away)
Matches55
Points per game3.000.80
Goals scored per game2.800.60
Goals conceded per game1.201.00
Shots on target per game--
Shots on target conceded--
Clean sheets0%40%
Over 2.5 goals100%20%
Both teams scored100%20%
  • Niger Tornadoes are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • Bendel Insurance: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Niger Tornadoes: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 4th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Bendel Insurance matches: 3 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Niger Tornadoes matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

On the numbers this is Bendel Insurance's match to lose. The model gives them 63%, with the draw at 25% and Niger Tornadoes at 12%.

At home this season Bendel Insurance average 3.00 points and 2.8 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Niger Tornadoes take 0.80 points per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.0.

Current runs: Niger Tornadoes are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

The model expects 1.61 goals from Bendel Insurance and 0.57 from Niger Tornadoes; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18%, over 2.5 goals 37% and both teams to score 35%.

In their last 2 league meetings Bendel Insurance won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-018%
  • 2-015%
  • 0-011%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-18%

Bendel Insurance form

WLWWL
  • Lat Enugu Rangers0-12026-11-04
  • Wat Kwara United2-12026-11-01
  • Wvs Rivers United2-12026-10-25
  • Lat Sporting Lagos1-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Barau4-12026-10-04

Niger Tornadoes form

WDWWD
  • Dvs Barau0-02026-10-30
  • Wat Abia Warriors1-02026-10-25
  • Wvs Ikorodu City2-12026-10-18
  • Dat Ranchers Bees0-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Kun Khalifat1-02026-10-04

Head to head

  • 2026-02-01Niger Tornadoes 2-2 Bendel Insurance
  • 2025-09-13Bendel Insurance 1-0 Niger Tornadoes

More Nigeria Premier Football League predictions

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Prediction made 2026-11-08 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.