Barnsley vs Oxford United prediction

Match preview

Oxford United have the edge at 45%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Barnsley at 29%.

At home this season Barnsley average 0.80 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Oxford United take 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Barnsley manage 5.8 per home game and Oxford United 4.0 per away game.

Form lines: Barnsley have lost their last 4 league matches; Oxford United are unbeaten in 8 league matches.

Barnsley sit 23rd in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 18th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Barnsley 1.28, Oxford United 1.57. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.

In their last 4 league meetings Barnsley won 3 and Oxford United won 1.

Most likely scores

• 1-111%
• 0-19%
• 1-29%
• 1-08%
• 2-17%

Barnsley form

• Lat Reading1-22026-10-24
• Lat Luton Town1-22026-10-20
• Lvs Cambridge United1-22026-10-17
• Lat Stockport County1-32026-10-10
• Dvs Leicester City1-12026-09-19

Oxford United form

• Wvs Stockport County1-02026-10-27
• Dvs Bradford City0-02026-10-24
• Wvs Wigan Athletic2-12026-10-20
• Dat Mansfield Town1-12026-10-15
• Wat Notts County2-12026-10-10