Vitória vs Fluminense prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Vitória32%3.16
- Draw28%3.52
- Fluminense40%2.50
Double chance
- Vitória or draw60%1.66
- Vitória or Fluminense72%1.40
- Draw or Fluminense68%1.46
Goals
- Over 2.545%2.25
- Under 2.555%1.80
Both teams to score
- Yes50%2.01
- No50%1.99
Match in numbers
This season, Vitória at home and Fluminense away
| Vitória (home) | Fluminense (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.62 | 0.86 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.12 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 6.1 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 86% |
- Vitória: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Fluminense: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 5th in the league.
- Our predictions for Vitória matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Fluminense matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 32% for Vitória, 28% for the draw and 40% for Fluminense.
At home this season Vitória average 1.62 points and 1.1 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Fluminense take 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.1 per game for Vitória at home and 4.1 for Fluminense on the road.
Fluminense sit 9th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.19 goals from Vitória and 1.27 from Fluminense; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.
In their last 5 league meetings Vitória won 2, Fluminense won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 1-010%
- 0-08%
- 1-28%
Vitória form
- Lat Coritiba0-22026-10-31
- Dvs Athletico Paranaense1-12026-10-24
- Dat Corinthians1-12026-10-19
- Lat São Paulo1-22026-10-11
- Wvs Chapecoense4-02026-10-07
Fluminense form
- Wvs Internacional2-12026-10-28
- Lat Chapecoense1-22026-10-24
- Lvs Santos1-22026-10-18
- Lat Flamengo0-12026-10-11
- Wvs Coritiba4-02026-10-09
Head to head
- 2026-05-09Fluminense 2-2 Vitória
- 2025-09-20Vitória 0-1 Fluminense
- 2025-04-20Fluminense 1-1 Vitória
- 2024-10-26Vitória 2-1 Fluminense
- 2024-06-27Fluminense 0-1 Vitória
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
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Vasco da GamaPrediction made 2026-11-06 22:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.