Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 14 November 2026

Mirassol9th · 24 pts
Sat 14 Nov
Atlético Mineiro6th · 26 pts
MirassolDrawAtlético Mineiro
Our predictionMirassol to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.34Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.35-1.06Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Mirassol43%2.34
  • Draw29%3.49
  • Atlético Mineiro29%3.50

Double chance

  • Mirassol or draw71%1.40
  • Mirassol or Atlético Mineiro71%1.40
  • Draw or Atlético Mineiro57%1.75

Goals

  • Over 2.543%2.30
  • Under 2.557%1.77

Both teams to score

  • Yes48%2.07
  • No52%1.93

Match in numbers

This season, Mirassol at home and Atlético Mineiro away

Mirassol (home)Atlético Mineiro (away)
Matches87
Points per game1.880.86
Goals scored per game1.621.14
Goals conceded per game1.381.57
Shots on target per game5.13.9
Shots on target conceded4.45.7
Clean sheets25%14%
Over 2.5 goals50%57%
Both teams scored75%57%
  • Atlético Mineiro have lost their last 3 league matches.
  • Mirassol: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Atlético Mineiro: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 7th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Mirassol matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Atlético Mineiro matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 43% for Mirassol, 29% for the draw and 29% for Atlético Mineiro.

At home this season Mirassol average 1.88 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Atlético Mineiro take 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.1 per game for Mirassol at home and 3.9 for Atlético Mineiro on the road.

Current runs: Atlético Mineiro have lost their last 3 league matches.

The model expects 1.35 goals from Mirassol and 1.06 from Atlético Mineiro; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 48%.

In their last 3 league meetings Atlético Mineiro won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-110%
  • 0-09%
  • 2-19%

Mirassol form

LWDLW
  • Wat Chapecoense2-12026-11-03
  • Lat Corinthians0-22026-10-30
  • Dvs São Paulo1-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Internacional2-02026-10-16
  • Lat Bahia0-12026-10-11

Atlético Mineiro form

WWLLL
  • Lat Botafogo0-12026-11-05
  • Lvs Cruzeiro0-12026-10-29
  • Lat Flamengo2-32026-10-26
  • Wvs Coritiba1-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Santos2-12026-10-11

Head to head

  • 2026-05-16Atlético Mineiro 3-1 Mirassol
  • 2025-09-28Atlético Mineiro 1-0 Mirassol
  • 2025-04-26Mirassol 2-2 Atlético Mineiro

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.