Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego prediction

USA · MLS · 29 October 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps10th · 23 pts
Thu 29 Oct
San Diego21st · 17 pts
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Diego
Our predictionVancouver Whitecaps to winStrong pick
65%Probability
1.53Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.19-1.05Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Vancouver Whitecaps65%1.53
  • Draw19%5.15
  • San Diego15%6.59

Double chance

  • Vancouver Whitecaps or draw85%1.18
  • Vancouver Whitecaps or San Diego81%1.24
  • Draw or San Diego35%2.89

Goals

  • Over 2.563%1.59
  • Under 2.537%2.69

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.74
  • No42%2.36

Match preview

The model makes Vancouver Whitecaps clear favourites, with a 65% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for San Diego at 15%.

Expected goals from the model: Vancouver Whitecaps 2.19, San Diego 1.05. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.

Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDDLD).

San Diego have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDLDD).

In the table Vancouver Whitecaps are 10th with 23 points and San Diego 21st with 17.

In their last 4 league meetings Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, San Diego won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 2-09%
  • 1-19%
  • 1-09%
  • 3-17%

Vancouver Whitecaps form

DLDDW
  • Wat Austin2-12026-10-18
  • Dat St. Louis City0-02026-10-15
  • Dat Los Angeles1-12026-10-11
  • Lat Chicago Fire1-32026-10-07
  • Dvs DC United3-32026-09-27

San Diego form

DDLDD
  • Dat LA Galaxy2-22026-10-18
  • Dvs Houston Dynamo3-32026-10-15
  • Lat New York RB1-42026-10-10
  • Dat Austin3-32026-09-27
  • Dat Inter Miami2-22026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-05-24San Diego 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 2025-11-30San Diego 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 2025-07-20San Diego 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 2025-06-26Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 San Diego

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.