Tijuana vs Santos Laguna prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 26 October 2026

Tijuana10th · 17 pts
Mon 26 Oct
Santos Laguna9th · 19 pts
TijuanaDrawSantos Laguna
Our predictionTijuana to winLean
53%Probability
1.90Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.69-1.21Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Tijuana53%1.90
  • Draw24%4.21
  • Santos Laguna24%4.24

Double chance

  • Tijuana or draw76%1.31
  • Tijuana or Santos Laguna76%1.31
  • Draw or Santos Laguna47%2.11

Goals

  • Over 2.555%1.80
  • Under 2.545%2.24

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.75
  • No43%2.33

Match preview

Tijuana have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Santos Laguna at 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Tijuana 1.69, Santos Laguna 1.21. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.

Tijuana have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDDLD).

Santos Laguna have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWW).

In the table Tijuana are 10th with 17 points and Santos Laguna 9th with 19.

In their last 5 league meetings Tijuana won 2, Santos Laguna won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-17%

Tijuana form

DLDDD
  • Dat Toluca2-22026-10-22
  • Dvs Puebla0-02026-10-17
  • Dat Juárez1-12026-10-10
  • Lvs Atlas2-32026-09-26
  • Dat Pachuca2-22026-09-21

Santos Laguna form

WWWWW
  • Wvs Pumas UNAM2-02026-10-22
  • Wvs Querétaro5-02026-10-17
  • Wat Atlético San Luis2-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Pachuca1-02026-09-27
  • Wat Toluca3-22026-09-21

Head to head

  • 2026-03-09Tijuana 1-2 Santos Laguna
  • 2025-09-25Santos Laguna 1-0 Tijuana
  • 2025-04-21Santos Laguna 0-4 Tijuana
  • 2024-08-19Tijuana 3-1 Santos Laguna
  • 2024-03-16Tijuana 2-2 Santos Laguna

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.