Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 25 October 2026

Pumas UNAM11th · 16 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Tigres UANL14th · 14 pts
Pumas UNAMDrawTigres UANL
Our predictionPumas UNAM to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.27Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.49-1.29Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Pumas UNAM44%2.27
  • Draw26%3.79
  • Tigres UANL30%3.39

Double chance

  • Pumas UNAM or draw70%1.42
  • Pumas UNAM or Tigres UANL74%1.36
  • Draw or Tigres UANL56%1.79

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.90
  • Under 2.547%2.11

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.79
  • No44%2.27

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Pumas UNAM 44%, draw 26%, Tigres UANL 30%.

Expected goals from the model: Pumas UNAM 1.49, Tigres UANL 1.29. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

Pumas UNAM have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLD).

Tigres UANL have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWL).

In the table Pumas UNAM are 11th with 16 points and Tigres UANL 14th with 14.

In their last 5 league meetings Pumas UNAM won 1, Tigres UANL won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-18%
  • 1-28%

Pumas UNAM form

DLDWL
  • Lat Santos Laguna0-22026-10-22
  • Wat Atlante2-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Cruz Azul3-32026-10-12
  • Lvs Atlético San Luis2-32026-09-27
  • Dat Atlas1-12026-09-19

Tigres UANL form

LWWDL
  • Lvs León0-22026-10-21
  • Dat Guadalajara1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Toluca3-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Puebla1-02026-09-27
  • Lat Juárez0-22026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-01-15Tigres UANL 0-1 Pumas UNAM
  • 2025-09-21Pumas UNAM 1-1 Tigres UANL
  • 2025-04-20Tigres UANL 2-1 Pumas UNAM
  • 2024-09-02Pumas UNAM 1-3 Tigres UANL
  • 2024-02-04Tigres UANL 2-2 Pumas UNAM

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.