Club América vs Pachuca prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 26 October 2026

Club América1st · 27 pts
Mon 26 Oct
Pachuca16th · 13 pts
Club AméricaDrawPachuca
Our predictionClub América to winStrong pick
60%Probability
1.66Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.91-1.11Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Club América60%1.66
  • Draw21%4.70
  • Pachuca18%5.44

Double chance

  • Club América or draw82%1.23
  • Club América or Pachuca79%1.27
  • Draw or Pachuca40%2.52

Goals

  • Over 2.558%1.72
  • Under 2.542%2.39

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.76
  • No43%2.32

Match preview

The model makes Club América clear favourites, with a 60% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 21% and a win for Pachuca at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: Club América 1.91, Pachuca 1.11. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 58%.

Club América have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWD).

Pachuca have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLD).

In the table Club América are 1st with 27 points and Pachuca 16th with 13.

In their last 5 league meetings Club América won 2, Pachuca won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-09%
  • 3-16%

Club América form

DWDWW
  • Wat Atlas5-22026-10-22
  • Wat León5-32026-10-18
  • Dvs Monterrey1-12026-10-11
  • Wat Necaxa4-22026-09-28
  • Dvs Guadalajara2-22026-09-20

Pachuca form

DLDLL
  • Lvs Cruz Azul1-22026-10-22
  • Lat Monterrey1-22026-10-19
  • Dvs Necaxa3-32026-10-11
  • Lat Santos Laguna0-12026-09-27
  • Dvs Tijuana2-22026-09-21

Head to head

  • 2026-01-19Pachuca 0-0 Club América
  • 2025-08-31Club América 2-0 Pachuca
  • 2025-05-11Club América 2-0 Pachuca
  • 2025-05-08Pachuca 0-0 Club América
  • 2025-04-06Pachuca 1-0 Club América

More Liga MX predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.