Atlante vs Atlético San Luis prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 24 October 2026

Atlante15th · 14 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Atlético San Luis12th · 16 pts
AtlanteDrawAtlético San Luis
Our predictionAtlante to winLean
49%Probability
2.05Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.65-1.21Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Atlante49%2.05
  • Draw25%3.93
  • Atlético San Luis26%3.87

Double chance

  • Atlante or draw74%1.35
  • Atlante or Atlético San Luis75%1.34
  • Draw or Atlético San Luis51%1.95

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.84
  • Under 2.546%2.20

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.77
  • No44%2.30

Match preview

Atlante have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Atlético San Luis at 26%.

Expected goals from the model: Atlante 1.65, Atlético San Luis 1.21. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.

Atlante have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLLWD).

Atlético San Luis have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDLWW).

In the table Atlante are 15th with 14 points and Atlético San Luis 12th with 16.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-17%

Atlante form

DWLLW
  • Wat Juárez1-02026-10-21
  • Lvs Pumas UNAM1-22026-10-17
  • Lat Querétaro0-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Monterrey4-22026-09-26
  • Dat Puebla1-12026-09-19

Atlético San Luis form

WWLDW
  • Wvs Querétaro2-12026-10-21
  • Dat Toluca1-12026-10-18
  • Lvs Santos Laguna1-22026-10-11
  • Wat Pumas UNAM3-22026-09-27
  • Wvs Necaxa3-12026-09-19

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More Liga MX predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.