Monterrey vs Guadalajara prediction
Monterrey7th · 20 pts
Guadalajara2nd · 23 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Monterrey36%2.74
- Draw27%3.67
- Guadalajara36%2.76
Double chance
- Monterrey or draw64%1.57
- Monterrey or Guadalajara73%1.38
- Draw or Guadalajara64%1.57
Goals
- Over 2.553%1.90
- Under 2.547%2.11
Both teams to score
- Yes56%1.78
- No44%2.28
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Monterrey 36%, draw 27%, Guadalajara 36%.
Expected goals from the model: Monterrey 1.42, Guadalajara 1.36. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.
Monterrey have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWDLW).
Guadalajara have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDDLD).
In the table Monterrey are 7th with 20 points and Guadalajara 2nd with 23.
In their last 5 league meetings Monterrey won 1, Guadalajara won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-09%
- 0-19%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
Monterrey form
- Wat Puebla4-12026-10-22
- Wvs Pachuca2-12026-10-19
- Dat Club América1-12026-10-11
- Lat Atlante2-42026-09-26
- Wvs Cruz Azul1-02026-09-20
Guadalajara form
- Wvs Necaxa1-02026-10-21
- Dvs Tigres UANL1-12026-10-17
- Dat Atlas1-12026-10-11
- Lvs Querétaro0-22026-09-26
- Dat Club América2-22026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-03-22Monterrey 2-3 Guadalajara
- 2025-11-08Guadalajara 4-2 Monterrey
- 2025-04-06Monterrey 3-1 Guadalajara
- 2024-09-29Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey
- 2024-03-31Monterrey 0-2 Guadalajara
More Liga MX predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.