Monterrey vs Guadalajara prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 25 October 2026

Monterrey7th · 20 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Guadalajara2nd · 23 pts
MonterreyDrawGuadalajara
Our predictionMonterrey to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.74Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.42-1.36Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Monterrey36%2.74
  • Draw27%3.67
  • Guadalajara36%2.76

Double chance

  • Monterrey or draw64%1.57
  • Monterrey or Guadalajara73%1.38
  • Draw or Guadalajara64%1.57

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.90
  • Under 2.547%2.11

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.78
  • No44%2.28

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Monterrey 36%, draw 27%, Guadalajara 36%.

Expected goals from the model: Monterrey 1.42, Guadalajara 1.36. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

Monterrey have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWDLW).

Guadalajara have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDDLD).

In the table Monterrey are 7th with 20 points and Guadalajara 2nd with 23.

In their last 5 league meetings Monterrey won 1, Guadalajara won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-09%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-28%

Monterrey form

WLDWW
  • Wat Puebla4-12026-10-22
  • Wvs Pachuca2-12026-10-19
  • Dat Club América1-12026-10-11
  • Lat Atlante2-42026-09-26
  • Wvs Cruz Azul1-02026-09-20

Guadalajara form

DLDDW
  • Wvs Necaxa1-02026-10-21
  • Dvs Tigres UANL1-12026-10-17
  • Dat Atlas1-12026-10-11
  • Lvs Querétaro0-22026-09-26
  • Dat Club América2-22026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-03-22Monterrey 2-3 Guadalajara
  • 2025-11-08Guadalajara 4-2 Monterrey
  • 2025-04-06Monterrey 3-1 Guadalajara
  • 2024-09-29Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey
  • 2024-03-31Monterrey 0-2 Guadalajara

More Liga MX predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.