Necaxa vs Juárez prediction
Necaxa17th · 9 ptsSat 24 Oct
Juárez18th · 4 ptsNecaxaDrawJuárez
Our predictionNecaxa to winLean
53%Probability
1.88Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.78-1.09Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Necaxa53%1.88
- Draw25%4.03
- Juárez22%4.53
Double chance
- Necaxa or draw78%1.28
- Necaxa or Juárez75%1.33
- Draw or Juárez47%2.13
Goals
- Over 2.555%1.83
- Under 2.545%2.21
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.82
- No45%2.22
Match preview
Necaxa have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Juárez at 22%.
Expected goals from the model: Necaxa 1.78, Juárez 1.09. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.
Necaxa have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLL).
Juárez have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLW).
In the table Necaxa are 17th with 9 points and Juárez 18th with 4.
In their last 5 league meetings Necaxa won 2, Juárez won 0 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-010%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 0-16%
Necaxa form
LLDLL
- Lat Guadalajara0-12026-10-21
- Lvs Atlas0-22026-10-17
- Dat Pachuca3-32026-10-11
- Lvs Club América2-42026-09-28
- Lat Atlético San Luis1-32026-09-19
Juárez form
WLDLL
- Lvs Atlante0-12026-10-21
- Lat Cruz Azul0-52026-10-18
- Dvs Tijuana1-12026-10-10
- Lat León1-22026-09-28
- Wvs Tigres UANL2-02026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-02-15Juárez 1-2 Necaxa
- 2025-09-13Necaxa 1-1 Juárez
- 2025-04-16Juárez 2-2 Necaxa
- 2024-08-25Necaxa 3-0 Juárez
- 2024-02-03Juárez 2-2 Necaxa
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.