Necaxa vs Juárez prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 24 October 2026

Necaxa17th · 9 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Juárez18th · 4 pts
NecaxaDrawJuárez
Our predictionNecaxa to winLean
53%Probability
1.88Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.78-1.09Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Necaxa53%1.88
  • Draw25%4.03
  • Juárez22%4.53

Double chance

  • Necaxa or draw78%1.28
  • Necaxa or Juárez75%1.33
  • Draw or Juárez47%2.13

Goals

  • Over 2.555%1.83
  • Under 2.545%2.21

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.82
  • No45%2.22

Match preview

Necaxa have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Juárez at 22%.

Expected goals from the model: Necaxa 1.78, Juárez 1.09. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.

Necaxa have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLL).

Juárez have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLW).

In the table Necaxa are 17th with 9 points and Juárez 18th with 4.

In their last 5 league meetings Necaxa won 2, Juárez won 0 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-16%

Necaxa form

LLDLL
  • Lat Guadalajara0-12026-10-21
  • Lvs Atlas0-22026-10-17
  • Dat Pachuca3-32026-10-11
  • Lvs Club América2-42026-09-28
  • Lat Atlético San Luis1-32026-09-19

Juárez form

WLDLL
  • Lvs Atlante0-12026-10-21
  • Lat Cruz Azul0-52026-10-18
  • Dvs Tijuana1-12026-10-10
  • Lat León1-22026-09-28
  • Wvs Tigres UANL2-02026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-02-15Juárez 1-2 Necaxa
  • 2025-09-13Necaxa 1-1 Juárez
  • 2025-04-16Juárez 2-2 Necaxa
  • 2024-08-25Necaxa 3-0 Juárez
  • 2024-02-03Juárez 2-2 Necaxa

More Liga MX predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.