Querétaro vs Cruz Azul prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 26 October 2026

Querétaro8th · 20 pts
Mon 26 Oct
Cruz Azul3rd · 23 pts
QuerétaroDrawCruz Azul
Our predictionCruz Azul to winLean
50%Probability
2.01Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.08-1.65Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Querétaro24%4.16
  • Draw26%3.82
  • Cruz Azul50%2.01

Double chance

  • Querétaro or draw50%1.99
  • Querétaro or Cruz Azul74%1.35
  • Draw or Cruz Azul76%1.32

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.95
  • Under 2.549%2.06

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.88
  • No47%2.13

Match preview

Cruz Azul have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Querétaro at 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Querétaro 1.08, Cruz Azul 1.65. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.

Querétaro have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLWWD).

Cruz Azul have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWDDL).

In the table Querétaro are 8th with 20 points and Cruz Azul 3rd with 23.

In their last 5 league meetings Querétaro won 0, Cruz Azul won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-29%
  • 1-07%

Querétaro form

DWWLL
  • Lat Atlético San Luis1-22026-10-21
  • Lat Santos Laguna0-52026-10-17
  • Wvs Atlante2-02026-10-10
  • Wat Guadalajara2-02026-09-26
  • Dvs León1-12026-09-21

Cruz Azul form

LDDWW
  • Wat Pachuca2-12026-10-22
  • Wvs Juárez5-02026-10-18
  • Dat Pumas UNAM3-32026-10-12
  • Dvs Toluca3-32026-09-26
  • Lat Monterrey0-12026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-04-22Querétaro 1-1 Cruz Azul
  • 2025-09-25Cruz Azul 2-2 Querétaro
  • 2025-02-24Cruz Azul 1-0 Querétaro
  • 2024-08-24Querétaro 0-2 Cruz Azul
  • 2024-02-03Querétaro 1-3 Cruz Azul

More Liga MX predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.