Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Tigres UANL31%3.19
- Draw26%3.91
- Cruz Azul43%2.32
Double chance
- Tigres UANL or draw57%1.76
- Tigres UANL or Cruz Azul74%1.34
- Draw or Cruz Azul69%1.46
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.78
- Under 2.544%2.28
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.70
- No41%2.43
Match in numbers
This season, Tigres UANL at home and Cruz Azul away
| Tigres UANL (home) | Cruz Azul (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 1.86 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 2.14 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.7 | 6.7 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 86% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 86% |
- Cruz Azul have won their last 4 league matches.
- Tigres UANL: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 6th in the league.
- Cruz Azul: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Our predictions for Tigres UANL matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Cruz Azul matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Tigres UANL 31%, draw 26%, Cruz Azul 43%.
At home this season Tigres UANL average 1.83 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Cruz Azul take 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.6. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Tigres UANL manage 5.7 per home game and Cruz Azul 6.7 per away game.
Form lines: Cruz Azul have won their last 4 league matches.
Tigres UANL sit 15th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Tigres UANL 1.42, Cruz Azul 1.51. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
In their last 5 league meetings Tigres UANL won 1, Cruz Azul won 1 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-18%
- 2-18%
- 1-08%
Tigres UANL form
- Lat Pachuca0-32026-10-31
- Dat Pumas UNAM1-12026-10-25
- Lvs León0-22026-10-21
- Dat Guadalajara1-12026-10-17
- Wvs Toluca3-22026-10-10
Cruz Azul form
- Wvs León2-12026-11-02
- Wat Querétaro3-12026-10-26
- Wat Pachuca2-12026-10-22
- Wvs Juárez5-02026-10-18
- Dat Pumas UNAM3-32026-10-12
Head to head
- 2026-02-15Cruz Azul 2-1 Tigres UANL
- 2025-12-07Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul
- 2025-12-04Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres UANL
- 2025-10-05Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul
- 2025-02-16Tigres UANL 2-1 Cruz Azul
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Querétaro
MonterreyPrediction made 2026-11-08 00:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.