St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers prediction

USA · MLS · 29 October 2026

St. Louis City2nd · 35 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Portland Timbers15th · 20 pts
St. Louis CityDrawPortland Timbers
Our predictionSt. Louis City to winStrong pick
62%Probability
1.60Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.09-1.20Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • St. Louis City62%1.60
  • Draw20%5.09
  • Portland Timbers18%5.56

Double chance

  • St. Louis City or draw82%1.22
  • St. Louis City or Portland Timbers80%1.24
  • Draw or Portland Timbers38%2.66

Goals

  • Over 2.564%1.57
  • Under 2.536%2.77

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.64
  • No39%2.57

Match preview

The model makes St. Louis City clear favourites, with a 62% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 20% and a win for Portland Timbers at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: St. Louis City 2.09, Portland Timbers 1.20. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.

St. Louis City have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWW).

Portland Timbers have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLDLL).

In the table St. Louis City are 2nd with 35 points and Portland Timbers 15th with 20.

In their last 5 league meetings St. Louis City won 1, Portland Timbers won 1 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 1-08%
  • 3-17%

St. Louis City form

WWWDL
  • Lat Minnesota United2-32026-10-17
  • Dvs Vancouver Whitecaps0-02026-10-15
  • Wvs LA Galaxy6-22026-10-11
  • Wat New York RB3-02026-09-30
  • Wvs Toronto3-12026-09-20

Portland Timbers form

LLDLD
  • Dvs Colorado Rapids0-02026-10-18
  • Lat LA Galaxy0-22026-10-15
  • Dat Sporting KC3-32026-10-11
  • Lat SJ Earthquakes1-32026-09-27
  • Lvs Atlanta United0-12026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-09-10Portland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis City
  • 2025-07-14St. Louis City 2-1 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-06-09Portland Timbers 2-1 St. Louis City
  • 2024-08-25Portland Timbers 4-4 St. Louis City
  • 2024-06-09St. Louis City 0-0 Portland Timbers

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.