Sporting KC vs Austin prediction
Sporting KC29th · 11 ptsSun 25 Oct
Austin22nd · 17 ptsSporting KCDrawAustin
Our predictionSporting KC to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.35Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.88-1.50Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sporting KC43%2.35
- Draw24%4.10
- Austin33%3.03
Double chance
- Sporting KC or draw67%1.49
- Sporting KC or Austin76%1.32
- Draw or Austin57%1.74
Goals
- Over 2.566%1.52
- Under 2.534%2.91
Both teams to score
- Yes66%1.52
- No34%2.91
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Sporting KC 43%, draw 24%, Austin 33%.
Expected goals from the model: Sporting KC 1.88, Austin 1.50. The single most likely score is 1-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 66%.
Sporting KC have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLW).
Austin have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDD).
In the table Sporting KC are 29th with 11 points and Austin 22nd with 17.
In their last 5 league meetings Sporting KC won 2, Austin won 3 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 2-19%
- 1-27%
- 2-27%
- 1-07%
Sporting KC form
WLDLL
- Lvs Real Salt Lake1-32026-10-18
- Lat Nashville SC0-42026-10-15
- Dvs Portland Timbers3-32026-10-11
- Lat Seattle Sounders1-22026-10-02
- Wat Houston Dynamo2-02026-09-27
Austin form
DDLLL
- Lvs Vancouver Whitecaps1-22026-10-18
- Lat Los Angeles1-32026-10-15
- Lvs Nashville SC1-42026-10-11
- Dvs San Diego3-32026-09-27
- Dat Dallas0-02026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-05-17Austin 1-2 Sporting KC
- 2025-09-07Sporting KC 1-2 Austin
- 2025-02-23Austin 1-0 Sporting KC
- 2024-06-30Sporting KC 2-0 Austin
- 2024-05-19Austin 3-2 Sporting KC
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.