SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids prediction

USA · MLS · 29 October 2026

SJ Earthquakes23rd · 16 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Colorado Rapids11th · 23 pts
SJ EarthquakesDrawColorado Rapids
Our predictionSJ Earthquakes to winLean
50%Probability
2.02Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.62-1.22Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • SJ Earthquakes50%2.02
  • Draw25%4.01
  • Colorado Rapids25%3.93

Double chance

  • SJ Earthquakes or draw75%1.34
  • SJ Earthquakes or Colorado Rapids75%1.33
  • Draw or Colorado Rapids50%1.98

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.85
  • Under 2.546%2.18

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.77
  • No44%2.30

Match preview

SJ Earthquakes have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Colorado Rapids at 25%.

Expected goals from the model: SJ Earthquakes 1.62, Colorado Rapids 1.22. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.

SJ Earthquakes have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DDDWD).

Colorado Rapids have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDDLD).

In the table SJ Earthquakes are 23rd with 16 points and Colorado Rapids 11th with 23.

In their last 5 league meetings SJ Earthquakes won 2, Colorado Rapids won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-17%

SJ Earthquakes form

DWDDD
  • Dvs Nashville SC1-12026-10-18
  • Dat Real Salt Lake1-12026-10-15
  • Dat Colorado Rapids1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Portland Timbers3-12026-09-27
  • Dvs Los Angeles2-22026-09-19

Colorado Rapids form

DLDDD
  • Dat Portland Timbers0-02026-10-18
  • Dvs Minnesota United2-22026-10-15
  • Dvs SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-11
  • Lat LA Galaxy2-32026-09-27
  • Dvs Seattle Sounders3-32026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-10-11Colorado Rapids 1-1 SJ Earthquakes
  • 2025-05-11Colorado Rapids 0-2 SJ Earthquakes
  • 2025-03-16SJ Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado Rapids
  • 2024-05-12Colorado Rapids 2-3 SJ Earthquakes
  • 2024-04-14SJ Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado Rapids

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.