Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Santos Laguna vs Pumas UNAM prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 22 October 2026

Santos LagunaDrawPumas UNAM
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Pumas UNAM to win (45%)
Our predictionPumas UNAM to winLean
45%Probability
2.21Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.40-1.70Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Santos Laguna30%3.37
  • Draw25%4.00
  • Pumas UNAM45%2.21

Double chance

  • Santos Laguna or draw55%1.83
  • Santos Laguna or Pumas UNAM75%1.33
  • Draw or Pumas UNAM70%1.42

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.67
  • Under 2.540%2.50

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.63
  • No39%2.60

Match in numbers

This season, Santos Laguna at home and Pumas UNAM away

Santos Laguna (home)Pumas UNAM (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.671.67
Goals scored per game1.331.67
Goals conceded per game0.501.50
Shots on target per game5.2-
Shots on target conceded3.2-
Clean sheets50%0%
Over 2.5 goals33%67%
Both teams scored17%67%
  • Santos Laguna have won their last 5 league matches.
  • Our predictions for Santos Laguna matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Pumas UNAM matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Pumas UNAM (45%), though Santos Laguna win 30% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.

At home this season Santos Laguna average 1.67 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Pumas UNAM take 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5.

Current runs: Santos Laguna have won their last 5 league matches.

The model expects 1.40 goals from Santos Laguna and 1.70 from Pumas UNAM; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 61%.

In their last 5 league meetings Santos Laguna won 1, Pumas UNAM won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-18%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-07%

Santos Laguna form

WWWWW
  • Wvs Querétaro5-02026-10-17
  • Wat Atlético San Luis2-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Pachuca1-02026-09-27
  • Wat Toluca3-22026-09-21
  • Wvs Juárez2-12026-09-14

Pumas UNAM form

LDLDW
  • Wat Atlante2-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Cruz Azul3-32026-10-12
  • Lvs Atlético San Luis2-32026-09-27
  • Dat Atlas1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Guadalajara0-32026-09-14

Head to head

  • 2026-01-31Pumas UNAM 4-0 Santos Laguna
  • 2025-07-13Santos Laguna 3-0 Pumas UNAM
  • 2025-04-17Pumas UNAM 2-0 Santos Laguna
  • 2024-07-14Santos Laguna 1-1 Pumas UNAM
  • 2024-02-19Pumas UNAM 3-0 Santos Laguna

More Liga MX predictions

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.