Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Santos Laguna46%2.17
- Draw25%4.02
- Necaxa29%3.44
Double chance
- Santos Laguna or draw71%1.41
- Santos Laguna or Necaxa75%1.33
- Draw or Necaxa54%1.85
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.77
- Under 2.543%2.30
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.69
- No41%2.44
Match in numbers
This season, Santos Laguna at home and Necaxa away
| Santos Laguna (home) | Necaxa (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.43 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.2 | 5.4 |
| Clean sheets | 57% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 14% | 83% |
- Santos Laguna have scored in 7 straight league matches.
- Necaxa have gone 12 league matches without a win.
- Santos Laguna: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Necaxa: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 13th in the league.
- Our predictions for Santos Laguna matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Necaxa matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Santos Laguna (46%), though Necaxa win 29% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.
At home this season Santos Laguna average 1.86 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 0.4. Away from home Necaxa take 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.2 per game for Santos Laguna at home and 4.2 for Necaxa on the road.
Current runs: Santos Laguna have scored in 7 straight league matches; Necaxa have gone 12 league matches without a win.
Necaxa sit 17th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 12th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.56 goals from Santos Laguna and 1.38 from Necaxa; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 59%.
In their last 5 league meetings Santos Laguna won 1 and Necaxa won 4.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 1-28%
- 0-17%
Santos Laguna form
- Lat Tijuana1-42026-10-26
- Wvs Pumas UNAM2-02026-10-22
- Wvs Querétaro5-02026-10-17
- Wat Atlético San Luis2-12026-10-11
- Wvs Pachuca1-02026-09-27
Necaxa form
- Dvs Juárez1-12026-10-24
- Lat Guadalajara0-12026-10-21
- Lvs Atlas0-22026-10-17
- Dat Pachuca3-32026-10-11
- Lvs Club América2-42026-09-28
Head to head
- 2026-01-11Santos Laguna 1-3 Necaxa
- 2025-11-01Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna
- 2025-02-08Necaxa 3-2 Santos Laguna
- 2024-09-02Santos Laguna 3-2 Necaxa
- 2024-04-13Necaxa 2-0 Santos Laguna
More Liga MX predictions
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Querétaro
MonterreyPrediction made 2026-11-01 22:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.