San Diego vs Seattle Sounders prediction

USA · MLS · 25 October 2026

San Diego21st · 17 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Seattle Sounders20th · 18 pts
San DiegoDrawSeattle Sounders
Our predictionSan Diego to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.34Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.75-1.49Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • San Diego43%2.34
  • Draw25%4.01
  • Seattle Sounders32%3.10

Double chance

  • San Diego or draw68%1.48
  • San Diego or Seattle Sounders75%1.33
  • Draw or Seattle Sounders57%1.75

Goals

  • Over 2.563%1.59
  • Under 2.537%2.69

Both teams to score

  • Yes64%1.57
  • No36%2.76

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. San Diego 43%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 32%.

Expected goals from the model: San Diego 1.75, Seattle Sounders 1.49. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.

San Diego have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDLDD).

Seattle Sounders have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DLWWW).

In the table San Diego are 21st with 17 points and Seattle Sounders 20th with 18.

In their last 3 league meetings San Diego won 1, Seattle Sounders won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-28%
  • 1-07%
  • 2-27%

San Diego form

DDLDD
  • Dat LA Galaxy2-22026-10-18
  • Dvs Houston Dynamo3-32026-10-15
  • Lat New York RB1-42026-10-10
  • Dat Austin3-32026-09-27
  • Dat Inter Miami2-22026-09-20

Seattle Sounders form

WWWLD
  • Dvs Montréal1-12026-10-18
  • Lat Dallas0-12026-10-15
  • Wat New England3-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Sporting KC2-12026-10-02
  • Wvs Minnesota United3-12026-09-27

Head to head

  • 2026-05-10Seattle Sounders 1-1 San Diego
  • 2025-05-29Seattle Sounders 1-0 San Diego
  • 2025-04-06San Diego 3-0 Seattle Sounders

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.