Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 02 November 2026

Red Bull Bragantino16th · 15 pts
2 - 1Full time
Santos6th · 26 pts
Red Bull BragantinoDrawSantos
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Red Bull Bragantino to win (44%)
Our predictionRed Bull Bragantino to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.26Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.55-1.12Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Red Bull Bragantino44%2.26
  • Draw28%3.63
  • Santos28%3.55

Double chance

  • Red Bull Bragantino or draw72%1.39
  • Red Bull Bragantino or Santos72%1.38
  • Draw or Santos56%1.80

Goals

  • Over 2.550%2.00
  • Under 2.550%2.00

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.89
  • No47%2.12

Match in numbers

This season, Red Bull Bragantino at home and Santos away

Red Bull Bragantino (home)Santos (away)
Matches78
Points per game1.572.25
Goals scored per game1.571.88
Goals conceded per game1.141.12
Shots on target per game7.14.6
Shots on target conceded4.44.6
Clean sheets43%25%
Over 2.5 goals43%88%
Both teams scored43%75%
  • Red Bull Bragantino: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Santos: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Red Bull Bragantino matches: 3 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Santos matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Red Bull Bragantino 44%, draw 28%, Santos 28%.

At home this season Red Bull Bragantino average 1.57 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 1.1. Away from home Santos take 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.1. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Red Bull Bragantino manage 7.1 per home game and Santos 4.6 per away game.

Red Bull Bragantino sit 16th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 9th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Red Bull Bragantino 1.55, Santos 1.12. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.

In their last 5 league meetings Red Bull Bragantino won 3, Santos won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-18%

Red Bull Bragantino form

DWDLW
  • Wvs Chapecoense3-02026-10-28
  • Lat Palmeiras0-22026-10-24
  • Dat Remo1-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Cruzeiro4-22026-10-13
  • Dvs Mirassol1-12026-10-07

Santos form

DLWDD
  • Dvs Palmeiras0-02026-10-28
  • Dvs Bahia1-12026-10-25
  • Wat Fluminense2-12026-10-18
  • Lat Atlético Mineiro1-22026-10-11
  • Dvs Flamengo2-22026-10-08

Head to head

  • 2026-05-10Santos 2-0 Red Bull Bragantino
  • 2025-09-28Red Bull Bragantino 2-2 Santos
  • 2025-04-28Santos 1-2 Red Bull Bragantino
  • 2023-10-20Santos 1-3 Red Bull Bragantino
  • 2023-05-28Red Bull Bragantino 2-0 Santos

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction made 2026-11-02 22:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.