Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City prediction

USA · MLS · 25 October 2026

Real Salt Lake30th · 10 pts
Sun 25 Oct
St. Louis City2nd · 35 pts
Real Salt LakeDrawSt. Louis City
Our predictionReal Salt Lake to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.60Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.64-1.36Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Real Salt Lake39%2.60
  • Draw26%3.86
  • St. Louis City36%2.81

Double chance

  • Real Salt Lake or draw64%1.55
  • Real Salt Lake or St. Louis City74%1.35
  • Draw or St. Louis City61%1.63

Goals

  • Over 2.558%1.73
  • Under 2.542%2.37

Both teams to score

  • Yes60%1.67
  • No40%2.48

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Real Salt Lake 39%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 36%.

Expected goals from the model: Real Salt Lake 1.64, St. Louis City 1.36. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 58%.

Real Salt Lake have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDLWL).

St. Louis City have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWW).

In the table Real Salt Lake are 30th with 10 points and St. Louis City 2nd with 35.

In their last 5 league meetings Real Salt Lake won 2, St. Louis City won 0 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 1-28%
  • 0-17%

Real Salt Lake form

LWLDW
  • Wat Sporting KC3-12026-10-18
  • Dvs SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-15
  • Lat Philadelphia Union1-22026-10-10
  • Wvs New England3-02026-09-27
  • Lat Seattle Sounders0-22026-09-24

St. Louis City form

WWWDL
  • Lat Minnesota United2-32026-10-17
  • Dvs Vancouver Whitecaps0-02026-10-15
  • Wvs LA Galaxy6-22026-10-11
  • Wat New York RB3-02026-09-30
  • Wvs Toronto3-12026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-08-02St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt Lake
  • 2025-10-19St. Louis City 2-2 Real Salt Lake
  • 2025-07-06Real Salt Lake 3-2 St. Louis City
  • 2024-03-31Real Salt Lake 3-1 St. Louis City
  • 2024-02-25St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt Lake

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.